Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.081370 0.090983 0.100860 0.111735 0.123347 0.135346 0.148654
2025-03-02 0.068154 0.082715 0.098435 0.116536 0.136674 0.158271 0.183063
2025-03-09 0.054581 0.071636 0.090915 0.114010 0.140619 0.170034 0.204727
2025-03-16 0.043891 0.062159 0.083730 0.110510 0.142323 0.178401 0.221909
2025-03-23 0.039174 0.059046 0.083342 0.114351 0.152033 0.195572 0.248914
2025-03-30 0.034778 0.055703 0.082152 0.116781 0.159735 0.210186 0.272852
2025-04-06 0.031832 0.053843 0.082494 0.120831 0.169208 0.226800 0.299136
2025-04-13 0.027684 0.049856 0.079683 0.120560 0.173098 0.236538 0.317142
2025-04-20 0.026751 0.050264 0.082598 0.127602 0.186124 0.257424 0.348666
2025-04-27 0.022916 0.046006 0.078843 0.125616 0.187493 0.263859 0.362593
2025-05-04 0.021296 0.044916 0.079343 0.129196 0.195944 0.279058 0.387274
2025-05-11 0.018720 0.042034 0.077068 0.128824 0.199122 0.287580 0.403703
2025-05-18 0.017928 0.042147 0.079352 0.135097 0.211569 0.308493 0.436439
2025-05-25 0.016799 0.041601 0.080646 0.140053 0.222426 0.327636 0.467342
2025-06-01 0.013943 0.037653 0.076495 0.137051 0.222428 0.332769 0.480613
2025-06-08 0.011278 0.033618 0.071861 0.133053 0.220841 0.335682 0.490969
2025-06-15 0.010523 0.033173 0.072903 0.137367 0.230699 0.353571 0.520501
2025-06-22 0.009559 0.032162 0.072923 0.140098 0.238343 0.368578 0.546422
2025-06-29 0.008988 0.031903 0.074157 0.144653 0.248570 0.387061 0.576926
2025-07-06 0.007726 0.029912 0.072288 0.144347 0.251854 0.396294 0.595492
2025-07-13 0.007761 0.030924 0.075682 0.152256 0.266933 0.421400 0.634823
2025-07-20 0.006426 0.028422 0.072686 0.150027 0.267375 0.426811 0.648487
2025-07-27 0.006004 0.028132 0.073642 0.154044 0.276861 0.444469 0.678252